In Foreign Affairs

David Stevenson

No Brexit reversal in sights, but closer cooperation is likely

No Brexit reversal in sights, but closer cooperation is likely

The new British government, led by Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, has signalled a shift in its approach to the European Union (EU) since taking office. While analysts acknowledge this change in tone, they believe there is little chance of reopening the post-Brexit agreement.

Starmer has reiterated his desire to strengthen ties with the EU and plans to use the upcoming European Political Community meeting in Oxford to propose enhanced cooperation on security and combating illegal immigration. This shift in display compared to the previous government is important and significant. However, neither Starmer nor Rachel Reeves advocates for a “substantively very close relationship.”

The UK will pursue improvements in trade and security but with limited ambitions, particularly since the Labour Party has refused to join the Customs Union or internal market. Significant changes will need to be negotiated outside the existing trade and cooperation agreement. Substantial changes will require goodwill from both sides and potential adjustments by the EU.

The UK is hosting the fourth meeting of the European Political Community, which will bring together 45 European leaders. For the first time, NATO, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), and the Council of Europe will be represented at this forum. The event will take place at Blenheim Palace and will feature a plenary session, followed by round table discussions on migration, energy, and democracy, concluding with a final plenary session.